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The CLARITY Act got closer to a Senate floor vote this week than it has all year, and then it stalled again anyway. Senator Lummis released the full bill text Wednesday, and by Thursday afternoon Majority Leader John Thune told reporters he didn't expect the Senate to pass crypto market structure legislation before August recess. That timing matters right now because it pushes the earliest realistic vote into the narrow window after the November midterms, and XRP holders who rallied on Monday's news gave a chunk of it back by Friday.

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CLARITY Act: One Clause Away, Then Nothing

On July 16, President Trump agreed to ethics language during an Oval Office meeting with Senator Cynthia Lummis, Senator Bernie Moreno, chief of staff Susie Wiles, and acting Attorney General Todd Blanche. The White House circulated that text to Senate Republicans on Monday, July 20, and for a few days it looked like the bill might actually move. It didn't.

The ethics provision is the whole fight, so the details are worth knowing. The draft would bar the president, vice president, members of Congress, federal judges, and their spouses from issuing or sponsoring digital assets for compensation while in office, sunsetting in 2029. The sticking point is enforcement: the agreed text hands that job to the Department of Justice alone, cutting out state attorneys general entirely.

Senator Angela Alsobrooks called that offer "unserious." That's not a small objection either, since the DOJ answers to the president, and this rule is supposed to restrict presidential conduct. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent still told reporters Tuesday the bill was on the "1-yard line," but that phrase turned out to describe one unresolved clause, not an imminent vote.

Tuesday, July 21: Polymarket's odds of CLARITY becoming law this year peaked near 48%.
Wednesday, July 22: Lummis released the full, integrated bill text.
Thursday, July 23: Thune ruled out a pre-recess vote, and Polymarket's odds slid to 38%.
The math: CLARITY needs 60 votes, Republicans hold 53, so 7 to 10 Democratic votes are still needed, with Josh Hawley and Rand Paul expected to oppose from the right.

Senator Amy Klobuchar's camp has tied its support to CFTC staffing, which is a real concern given the agency is down to one sitting commissioner, Chairman Michael Selig, out of five seats. Since CLARITY would make the CFTC the primary crypto regulator, handing new authority to an understaffed commission is a legitimate ask, not just a stalling tactic. Banking groups piled on too: the American Bankers Association and Independent Community Bankers of America sent a joint letter July 13 pushing for clarity on stablecoin-yield provisions.

No cloture motion was filed and no floor vote happened this window. The bill heads into recess with its best shot of the year behind it, and the next realistic opening appears to sit after the November midterms.

CLARITY came within one clause of a vote, and that clause is still unresolved heading into a month-long recess.

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Moves That Matter

Regulators missed the GENIUS Act deadline. Treasury, the OCC, the FDIC, and the Fed collectively issued only 10 proposed rules, not final regulations, missing the July 18 statutory deadline entirely. No agency has issued emergency guidance or a formal statement addressing the miss.
Tether's three-way merger fell apart. The planned combination of Twenty One Capital, Strike, and Elektron Energy got scrapped, per Bloomberg. Jack Mallers stays CEO of Strike but steps down at Twenty One, which still holds 43,514 BTC, the second-largest corporate Bitcoin treasury on record.
Circle is lobbying for USDT's return to the EU. Circle is pushing an "equivalence" mechanism inside the MiCA review that could let USDT trade on EU venues without a separate license. It's an odd move for a direct competitor, but the reporting itself is skeptical a quick return is coming.
Samsung is baking stablecoins into its wallet. At Galaxy Unpacked 2026, Samsung announced native stablecoin support in Samsung Wallet, calling itself one of the first major phone brands to build this in natively. Samsung ships hundreds of millions of phones, so this is a distribution channel issuers haven't had before.
Kraken finally launched options. Kraken rolled out USD-settled Bitcoin and Ether options for institutional clients, with portfolio margin on by default and collateral accepted in over 30 currencies. It puts Kraken more directly against Deribit and CME, a gap it had lagged on for a while.
The SEC quietly settled with Coinbase. Reuters reported the SEC agreed to pay Coinbase $150,000 to close a Freedom of Information Act suit over lost internal messages. Small dollar figure, but it's a rare instance of the agency paying out rather than the other way around.

The Institutional Track

Coinbase Rebuilds Its Executive Bench

Chief People Officer Lawrence Brock, who ran the May 2026 layoff of 700 roles at a cost of $50 to $60 million, is leaving, with Dominique Baillet expected to succeed him. Paul Grewal exits as chief legal officer after six years, Molly Abraham becomes general counsel, and Ryan VanGrack takes a newly created vice chair role. Jesse Pollak stepped back from Base's consumer app, handing it to Jordan Fish, to focus on Base as settlement and tokenization infrastructure. This lands 18 days before Coinbase reports Q2 earnings on July 30.

SBI and DigiFT Bring Japanese Equities to Solana

SBI Group and DigiFT launched the JX token, described as the world's first tokenized Japanese equity fund on Solana, targeting accredited and institutional investors and settling in USDC. SBI already has a longstanding Ripple relationship, so choosing Solana for a new product line is a meaningful signal about where the firm sees institutional-grade tooling right now.

Ondo Finance Crosses $3.6 Billion in Tokenized Assets

Ondo's 2026 totals now show $3.6 billion in total value locked, a $2.16 billion USDY yield token, and roughly $1 billion in tokenized-stock value under the newly renamed Ondo Stocks brand. ONDO's token jumped 14% around July 21, though one analyst framed it more cautiously as "holding $0.25 to $0.26 as TVL growth meets distribution."

Bank of Korea Moves to Live CBDC Testing

The Bank of Korea confirmed a second phase of live transactional testing starting September 2026, with nine banks including KB Kookmin, Shinhan, and Hana. It's a wholesale, bank-to-bank model, the central bank supplies settlement infrastructure while banks issue their own deposit tokens, a notably different approach than the US, which has already banned the Fed from issuing anything resembling a CBDC.

This Week in Markets

Asset Weekly Range End Price Move
BTC $64,304.50 - $66,000+ $64,304.50 +2% WoW, -45.2% YoY
ETH $1,837 - $1,954 $1,837 +0.7% WoW, -48.3% YoY
XRP Climbed past $1.13 intraday (Jul 20-21) Pulled back with Thune news 3rd-best performer, top 50 coins

Bitcoin ETFs snapped a 7-day, roughly $999 million inflow streak on July 23 to 24, with total spot Bitcoin ETF net asset value sitting around $78.8 to $80.9 billion. Ethereum ETFs ended a five-day streak Friday with $70.62 million in outflows, though the month-to-date total still stands at plus $337.74 million. Friday's pullback tracked rising Treasury yields, themselves a response to higher oil prices and tariff-driven inflation expectations, arriving at almost the same moment as the Thune news, so it's hard to say which pushed harder.

Tedd's Take

I've watched enough of these "1-yard line" moments to know they don't mean much until there's actually a vote scheduled. Bessent used that phrase Tuesday, and by Thursday Thune had shut the door on a pre-recess vote entirely. That gap between rhetoric and floor scheduling is where a lot of fintech operators get burned planning around legislation that isn't there yet.

What I'd flag for operators building on this: the CFTC staffing problem isn't going away on its own, and CLARITY hands that agency a much bigger job. If you're building products that assume a specific regulator will be ready to oversee them, this is likely to push your timeline past the midterms, not before them. Plan for that gap now rather than assuming August magic happens.

The Week Ahead

Senate recess begins. Timing not specified but framed as imminent; watch whether Lummis or Senate leadership signals any pre-election floor scheduling attempt for CLARITY.
GENIUS Act rulemaking. With 10 proposed rules on the books and the deadline already missed, watch for any agency moving toward finalization or issuing emergency guidance.
OUSD's first integration. Still no launch identified; watch for a first platform going live with native OUSD, particularly on Solana.
DTCC tokenization pilot. No new participant data this week; watch for the first dated update ahead of its October 2026 full commercial launch target.
Solana SGP proposals. SIMD-550, SIMD-123, and SIMD-553 have gone three straight weeks without a formal filing; watch for a validator crossing the 100,000 SOL threshold.
BTC and ETH ETF flows. Both streaks snapped Thursday into Friday; watch whether the reversal extends into a sustained outflow pattern or proves a short blip.
Coinbase Q2 earnings, July 30. Lands three days after this leadership reshuffle takes full effect; watch how management frames Base's pivot toward infrastructure over consumer apps.

If you know someone building a stablecoin or tokenization product who's been assuming CLARITY or GENIUS rulemaking lands on schedule, forward this to them today. This is exactly the kind of legislative gap that trips up product timelines when nobody's watching the calendar.

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